Fantasy Baseball Strategy Guide and News for 21 March 2009 (Issue 2)

He’ll Be Fine

Jason Marquis was doing some testing with where on the rubber he stands, resulting in his bad start.
Adam Wainwright’s finger surgery is completely behind him.
Oliver Perez’s fatigue will go away. He pitched in the World Baseball Classic, but this is overrated as a problem.
Derrek Lee is taking batting practice.
Rich Harden ate a bad burrito. So did Justin Morneau. And Orlando Cabrera.
Hanley Ramirez has right shoulder tendinitis.
Brad Lidge had forearm tightness.
Chan Ho Park has hamstring issues.
Gaby Sanchez has a lower-leg contusion.
Jerry Hairston ate a bad burrito but is merely a speed option in NL-only leagues anyway.
Pedro Feliz has a bad back and should only be used in NL-only leagues. Same with Brandon Moss, who sprained his right thumb.
Chase Utley had hip surgery.
Placido Polanco was hit by a pitch.

Name Recognition Means Nothing

Frank Catalanotto is worth a buck in AL-only leagues, but that’s it. He’s going to be pinch hitting mostly.
Carl Pavano hasn’t been the same since signing that huge contract and getting injured.
Jose Contreras is doing well after Achilles problems, but he’s not fantasy-ready.
What does Barry Zito’s name even mean anymore?
Jason Varitek will lose a lot of starts to Josh Bard.
Michael Barrett and Rod Barajas may be splitting time 50/50.
Danys Baez isn’t a closer anymore and recovering from Tommy John surgery to boot.
Laynce Nix will not be starting if he even makes the team.
Chipper Jones hurt his oblique and will hurt something else soon enough.
Brian Schneider is a No. 2 catcher in NL-only leagues.
Ivan Rodriguez should not be starting for you. He’s just not that good anymore.
Livan Hernandez will be a fifth starter.
Akinori Iwamura is not going to hit at the top of the order despite his good showing in the World Baseball Classic.

Sleepers for Keeper Leagues

Brett Anderson (P) won’t make the club, but if your league lets you draft guys in spring training, nab him. Same with Tommy Manzella (2B/SS).
Glen Perkins (P) is a good pickup in the late rounds in AL-only leagues. Same with Phil Hughes, especially if you can keep minor leaguers.
Josh Anderson (OF) is winning the job in Florida, making him good in NL-only leagues. He is a SB threat.
Rick Porcello (P) might start but should only be taken in AL-only leagues.
Jeff Karstens (P) and Virgil Vazquez (P) are fighting for Tom Gorzelanny’s (P) old spot. He was sent down.

Starting Job in Jeopardy

Kevin Correia isn’t really a difference maker anyway, so the risk becomes completely unnecessary. Ditto for Seth McClung.
Justin Duchsherer will start the season in the pen but will work his way back into the rotation. Let someone else draft him, and then trade for him when his owner is upset that he isn’t starting.
Collen Ballester may not make the rotation. He’s worth a dollar in NL-only leagues.
Andrew Miller will be lucky to be a fifth starter. It looks bleaker for Greg Smith.

Major-leaguer starter doesn’t mean fantasy-league starter

Clay Buchholz will likely end up a fifth starter. Same with Franklin Morales.
Matt Garza needs to prove himself and will be drafted higher than where he’ll be a good value.
Nate Robertson is only worth a dollar in NL-only leagues. Same with Russ Ortiz.
Johnny Cueto is only worth it in 5×5 NL-only leagues.
Jeremy Bonderman should only be taken at the end of drafts. Someone else will take him by then. Try to trade for him if he has a slow start.

Injured Starters

J.D. Drew is surprisingly hurt, now with a bad hand to go with his bad back.
Mark Worrell is having Tommy John surgery and will be out for the year.
Fausto Carmona was hit with a line drive.
Kelvim Escobar will be back in May.

Closer Alert

Eddie Guardado is looking more like a middle reliever.
C.J. Wilson will be the setup guy. Same with Dan Wheeler.
That means Troy Percival is closing.
Jonathan Papelbon is not hurt.
Joey Devine is looking like the guy.

Other Stuff

Mike Redmond will start until Joe Mauer is back, whenever that is. Try to trade him when Mauer starts his rehab assignment or if he gets off to a fast start.
Jorge Posada is batting leadoff because Derek Jeter is at the World Baseball Classic.

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